Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.199558 0.231661 0.267310 0.309841 0.359223 0.414777 0.482059
2025-05-11 0.148343 0.190862 0.243138 0.312192 0.401121 0.511961 0.660889
2025-05-18 0.119235 0.164627 0.224476 0.309271 0.426560 0.583459 0.809983
2025-05-25 0.097517 0.142585 0.205481 0.299826 0.438150 0.634180 0.934336
2025-06-01 0.086298 0.132618 0.200526 0.307572 0.472677 0.718721 1.115283
2025-06-08 0.075907 0.121938 0.192454 0.308646 0.496159 0.788442 1.281674
2025-06-15 0.068492 0.114567 0.188041 0.314108 0.526158 0.870568 1.476751
2025-06-22 0.060000 0.104165 0.177237 0.307378 0.534792 0.918430 1.620409
2025-06-29 0.053598 0.096344 0.169553 0.304567 0.549086 0.976510 1.787670
2025-07-06 0.048900 0.090834 0.165028 0.306452 0.571389 1.050351 1.991284
2025-07-13 0.046668 0.089450 0.167542 0.321171 0.618443 1.173468 2.300582
2025-07-20 0.044085 0.087058 0.167854 0.331650 0.658518 1.287826 2.606820
2025-07-27 0.041410 0.084249 0.167213 0.340540 0.697267 1.405511 2.937748
2025-08-03 0.038251 0.080104 0.163519 0.342946 0.723461 1.501844 3.238518
2025-08-10 0.034889 0.075109 0.157498 0.339738 0.737462 1.574663 3.498568
2025-08-17 0.031252 0.069080 0.148628 0.329353 0.734755 1.611840 3.685325
2025-08-24 0.029663 0.067291 0.148487 0.337870 0.774339 1.744472 4.102869
2025-08-31 0.027624 0.064248 0.145260 0.339051 0.797447 1.843132 4.454487
2025-09-07 0.026142 0.062294 0.144213 0.345057 0.832326 1.972374 4.895045
2025-09-14 0.023862 0.058195 0.137808 0.337656 0.834423 2.025243 5.155867
2025-09-21 0.022089 0.055106 0.133411 0.334565 0.846594 2.103499 5.490316
2025-09-28 0.020791 0.053034 0.131213 0.336639 0.871872 2.216737 5.929409
2025-10-05 0.020393 0.053179 0.134440 0.352823 0.935165 2.432751 6.667959